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How people estimate the probabilities of unique events

Boolean concept learning

Relational reasoning

Reasoning about inconsistency

Illusory inferences

Latest news

Recent news, research developments, presentation updates, noteworthy experimental findings, and all sorts of miscellany.

The truth of conditionals

11th September 2018 By Sunny

Geoff Goodwin and Phil Johnson-Laird describe new work on resolving a long-standing controversy about “conditional” assertions. You can read the paper here.

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50 years of the selection task

18th August 2018 By Sunny

Marco Ragni, Ilir Kola, and Phil Johnson-Laird have just published a meta-analysis of 50 years of research into the selection task, a paradigm invented to test how reasoners select evidence to test hypotheses. Download the paper here, and read the abstract:

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Factual and counterfactual conditionals

14th July 2018 By Sunny

A new paper by Cristina Quelhas, CĂ©lia Rasga, and Phil Johnson-Laird describes the relation between factual conditionals and counterfactual conditionals.

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